Geopolitics

WORLD
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
13%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
7%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
4%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
70%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
81%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD⏱ 4d
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD⏱ 4d
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
2%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD
Iran leadership change by December 31?
17%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD
Iran leadership change by December 31?
23%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD
Iran leadership change by December 31?
23%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD
Iran leadership change by December 31?
26%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
7%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
70%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD⏱ 4d
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
98%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD⏱ 3d
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
11%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
2%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
6%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol



WORLD
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
47%
Probability
▲0.0% today
$0 Vol

