Economics

ECONOMICS
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
14%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 14¢No 86¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
99%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 99¢No 1¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
81%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 81¢No 19¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
20%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 20¢No 80¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 1¢No 99¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 1¢No 99¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 1¢No 99¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 1¢No 99¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 1¢No 99¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 1¢No 99¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 1¢No 99¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 0¢No 100¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
8%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 8¢No 92¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 1¢No 99¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
US recession by end of 2026?
11%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 11¢No 89¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
10%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 10¢No 90¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
78%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 78¢No 22¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
25%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 25¢No 75¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
7%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 7¢No 93¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 1¢No 99¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 1¢No 99¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
72%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 72¢No 28¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
13%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 13¢No 87¢
$0 Vol
ECONOMICS
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1%
Probability
▲0.0% today
Yes 1¢No 99¢
$0 Vol